xt7dv40jvc86 https://exploreuk.uky.edu/dips/xt7dv40jvc86/data/mets.xml   Kentucky Agricultural Experiment Station. 1959 journals 079 English Lexington : Agricultural Experiment Station, University of Kentucky Contact the Special Collections Research Center for information regarding rights and use of this collection. Kentucky Agricultural Experiment Station Progress report (Kentucky Agricultural Experiment Station) n.79 text Progress report (Kentucky Agricultural Experiment Station) n.79 1959 2014 true xt7dv40jvc86 section xt7dv40jvc86 · I I Progress Report 79 y August l959
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n n Populotion Ghonqe Rates,. l950-58 F ig; :
. G U °/ _ U Loss c  
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AVERAGE ANNUAL RATE OF POPULATION CHANGE FOR KENTUCKY COUNTIES, BY ECONOMIGAREAB, 1950-5E
(Metropolitan Areas: A- Jefferson County, B- Campbell and Kenton Counties, C- Boyd County)
4 ` ~ (Economic Areas: 1— The Purchase, 2- Owensboro-He11derson, Ba- Western Coal Fields, Bb- Eastern Pennyroyal and
Knobs. 4- Pennyroyal, 5- South Central Knobs, 6- Outer Blue Grass, 7- Inner Blue Grass, B- Cumberland Plateau
Margin, 9- Cumberland Plateau)
AGRICULTURAL EXPERIMENT STATION
UNIVERSITY OF KENTUCKY
LEXINGTON

   -

 POPULATION ESTIMATES FOR KENTUCKY COUNTIES AND ECONOMIC AREAS
` JULY 1, 1958
_ By Robert A. Danley
The 1958 estimate of Kentucky's population continues to show a small in-
crease since 1950. However, rather marked changes have occurred during this
period in certain areas within.the state. The estimated total population of `
_ Kentucky as of July 1, 1958, was 3,022,000. This is about 50,500 (1.7 percent)
‘ more than the 2,97l,¤86 present April 1, 1950, the time of the last census of
population. Kentucky is still characterized by considerable out-migration,
and the state's net population gain is due to the natural increase (excess of
, births over deaths) out—number1ng those who have moved out of the state.
During the Béeyear period the 637,658 births exceeded the 230,502 deaths by
H07,066, but Kentucky's loss through migration approximated 350,000.
The observed net loss through migration continues a trend present in
Kentucky since the beginning of the current century.
"Data collected in the 1950 census of population indicated
that nearly a third of the 3,762,315 in the United States whose
place of birth was Kentucky were then living outside the state.
In contrast, only 351,000 natives of other states were residing .
in Kentucky. During the_19¤0-1950 decade alone, Kentucky lost
nearly 373,000 residents in its exchange of migrants with other
states."‘ _
If out~migration continues at the 1950-1958 rate, approximately U2U,000 will
_ have migrated during the 1950-1960 decade, and this number is lh percent greater
than that for the 19UO-1950 decade. .
Two trends which continue are the population gain in urban areas and the
population loss in rural areas in the state. During the period 1950-1958,
30 (or 25 percent) of Kentucky's 120 counties registered population gains, but
18 of these counties gained only-because their natural increase exceeded their
losses due to out—migration.` The 12 counties whose natural increase gains were
supplemented by in-migration were Jefferson, Campbell, Marshall, McCracken,
I Daviess, Bullitt, Taylor, Christian, Boone, Oldham, Fa ette, and Greenu .
Christian county includes Fort Campbell, and an analysis of its population in
terms of civilian migration is impossible with the available data. The other
ll counties either include or adjoin centers of industrialization. In 1950
these ll counties had 35 Percent of the state's population, and in 1958 they
had M2 percent; combined, they had a population increase of 22 percent between
1950 and 1958.
Thus e,p1cture emerges of population losses due to migration throughout
most of the state and marked gains in industrialized urban areas. The net
losses of 75 percent of the counties were offset by the net gains of the other
IT. R. Ford, Qgpglatggn Estimates gg; Kentucky Counties and Eggggmig
Aggas, Jgly 1, 1952. Progress Report 66, Agricultural Experiment Station,
University of Kentucky, Lexington. August 1958.

 W u v
25 percent to provide the state with a net population gain of 1,7 percent »
from 1950 to mid~1958¤
A more detailed discussion of Kentuoky“s population changes follows; a ·
éeacription of the methoi used to estimate the 1958 population is presented
" in the appendix, page 16,
Population Changes gn State Economic Areas
State economic areas are groupings of counties which have
similar eooiel enc economic characteristics, The boundaries of
these areas within each state were drawn by the U, S, Bureau of
Senges after careful etudy of such factors ae population charac-
teyistice, industrial anu oom ercial activity, cultural features,
climate, land use, soil types, and other factors related to the
proonetion of agricultural and noneagricultural goodeoz The
grouping of counties into relatively few such areas greatly
+eoi1itates analysis of changes taking place within the state. _
Kentueky“s 120 counties, for example, were grouped in 1950 into
3 metropolitan an& 10 non~metropo1itan areas, if areas ja and jb
are separately ooneideredgg
The estimated l950~l958 population changes in Kentucky“s economic areas
are presented in Table 1, page 11, Changes in individual counties, alpha»
betically errangeu, are presented in Table 2, page 12,
All three of the state“s metropolitan areas had increases in population
between IOSO and 1958, The gains were most notable in the Louievi11e—
Jefferson County area and the Oempbe11~Kenton counties area (part of the
Cincinnati metropolitan area); these two areas combined had increases of 2U
percent over their 1950 population. Including the Ash1and»Boyd County area
(part of the Euntlngton, West *irginie~Aeh1and metropolitan area), Kentucky's
metrouolitao areas gaineu 22 percent during the 1950~1958 period.
During the same time, half of the ten nonmetropolitan areas registered t
population gains ranging between roughly 5 percent and 1} percent, and half
had lessee ranging u  to 19 percent, The combined losses exceeded the gains,
eo that the nonmetropolitan areas, as e,who1e, lost approximately M percent
of their 1950 population by mid ——-.- 1958,
The economic area of greatest gain (10,5 percent) was the Eastern
Pennyroyal ani Knobs Area (Economic Area.3b). The other four, in decreasing
order of percentage net gain, werez the Inner Blue Grass CEconom1o Area 7),
7.S·oercent; the Oweneboro~Hendereon Aree.(Economic Area 2), 7.1 percent;
‘For further eiscueeion and materials pertaining to state economic areas,
see Uoneid Ju Bogue, §§gg  Egpnomig Areas, Bureau of Census, Washington, D, G.,
1931..
*1
"`F<°Y·“&» £2.Q.·» §;§.§i,·»;» ,'>C=>· F>~6»

 the Pennyroyal (Economic Area N), 5,8 percent; and the Purchase (Economic Area
1), M,9 percent, All of the counties in the Pennyroyal except Christian had
net losses, Reference has been made to the location of Fort Campbell in
Christian county, and this should he remembered when considering the Pennye
‘ royal‘s apparent population gains
Among the nonmetropolitan areas which experienced net losses of popula»
l tion hetween 1950 and 1958, the Gumberland Platea  (Economic Area 9) in .
Eastern Kentucky lost the largest percentage and number Cl8°6 percent, or
96,000); the other four, in decreasing order of percentage loss, were: the
° Western Goal Fields {Economic Area 3a>, lh.6 percent; the Cumberland Plateau
Mangin (Economic Area 8), 8,8 percentg the South Central Knobs (Economic Area
5), 8,7 percent; and the Outer Blue Grass (Economic Area 6), 0,1 percent.
M.s.irl¤.pnl§»;aa¤;"s yeas
The largest urban center in Kentucky is Louisville in Jefferson county,
the only Kentucky county officially included in Metropolitan Area A. This is
the only one of Kentucky's thirteen economic areas which gained population by
in»migration supplementing its natural increase. The l950~l958 net increase of
approximately 136,100 (representing a gain of 27°8 percent) brought Jefferson
county's estimated mid—1958 population to 625,500.
Gamphell and Kenton counties are in Metropolitan Area B and are influenced
by the population changes in the Cincinnati standard metropolitan area, The
1958 estimate of the area"s population was 205,500, which was nearly 23,600
(or 13,0 percent} more than the 1950 population, Campbell county“s population
increased at an average annual rate of 1.6 percent to 87,200 by mid~l958, while
Kenton oounty“s population increased at an average annual rate of 1,5 percent
to 118,300 during the same period of time, Campbell county gained through
migration as well as natural increase, but Kenton county"s gain was due to its
natural increase exceeding its net loss from migration.
Boyd county (Metropolitan Area G) is part of the Huntington, West Virginiae
Ashland, Kentudky, standard metropolitan area, but its population growth was
considerably less daring the Béayear period than that of the other two metro-
politan areas in Kentuckys By Jxly 1958, Boyd county”s population was esti-
mated to he 5l,¤00. This is about 1,000 more than the 1950 population and
represents a gain during the whole period of only 2.0 percent, The natural
` ` increase of 7,302 was enough to make for a net gain in population, although the
* number of out-migrants was considerable.
EQQQ§i£QQQl&§Q§ 駣§§
Each of the nonmetropolitan areas lost population through migration be-
tween 1950 and 1958, as did more than 90 percent of the 116 individual counties
involved.
@he_§g;ggasg (Economic Area l),~—Of the economic areas having population
gains between 1950 and 1958, the Purchase registered the smallest percentage
increase-—M,9, or an average annual increase of 0.6 percent. The net gain of
the area was due to the gains of half the counties exceeding the losses of the
other half, McCracken county alone registered an increase in population large
enough to more than offset the losses in Galloway, Fulton, Graves, and Hickman

 ... 6 .. .
counties. Marshall and McCracken counties, including the urban center of
Paducah, attracted migrants during the 8:} years; Ballard and Carlisle counties
had net gains of 7.,0 percent and 1.6 {percent, respectively, although out-
migration occurred from both couzrties.
Among the counties having net population losses, Fulton had the greatest
numerical loss (2,700) and the largest percentage loss (-·l9,6). Galloway
county lost the fewest (900,, or ?+.J4·porce:1t)., Graves county”s loss of 1,700 *
exceeded Hlclmmn county“s 1,100, but the losses represented 5.}+ percent for
the former and lU».O percent for the latter.,
OWEIIQ-}JOI’O·—H€Dd8TSQH Argg (Economic Area 2) ,—-—Two counties (Daviess and
[Henderson) of the five in Economic Area 2 had large enough gains in population
to register a 7.1 percent increase between 1950 and 1958 for the area as a
wmle., llawieee county, which includes the urban center of Owensboro, had the
grea.te<=»‘. numerical and percentage increase during the 8% years, vizo, more than
10,000 or 17.8 percent; part of the gain was through in-migration. Henderson _
co¤mt;¢°s net population gain was due to the natural increase exceeding the
miggration loam., Mclean cou.nty“e net lose of almost noo was @.,0 percent of its
1950 population; Union and Webster counties, farthest from Daviess county and
bordering the Western Goal Fields area., had net population losses between 1950
and 1958 of 12,0 percent end 'J.!#.,i!» percent. . `
  Wg; tgr_x_;_ Cogl Field; (Economic Area je.) .--—The population loss of 1L!».6
percent `botween 1950 and 1958 in Economic Area 3e. was second only to that of
the Gwuberland Plz~.teeu1 Area in eastern Kentuclq/, the other coa1-mining area
in the mtute. Each of the aree"e twelve counties registered net losses during
the 8§·»yem:· period, ranging from ?4·,l percent in Livingnton county to 28.6
percezit in Ohio county.
Four of the counties (Hopkins, Livingston, lldmoneon, and Grayson) had
cleclirmee of `between 2 percent and 8 percent of their 1950 populations; three
counties (Caldwell, Lynx?. and Breek;i.nr§.dge) , between 11 percent and lj percent; _
and five {Bu.·t?.er:·, Hancock, M¤l>.lez;berg, Gr1.t’éenden, and Ohio) , between ZL per-
cent and 29 percent.
        (Economic Area Tc:) .--»The northeastern
boundary of Economic Area jb edjoine the Louievil3.e-Jefi`erso11 county metro-
polite:1 wee, and the military installation of Fort Knox is included in the ,
area, Theme two factors effected considerably thevpopulation changes in this ,
mccsm einem 1})%. During tlxisn time the area as a whole had an increase of 10.5
pe·rce.2.t in popuJ.mt?.on, Five of the seven counties had gains; K3·oJ.litt, 42.8
percent; Hwrdin, 15.,6 percent; Larue, 7,0 percent; Meade, 13.7 percent; and
Te;;*l.ost·, 22,7 percent, Green and Hart counties had losses of 16.,7 percent and ”
22.7 percent, respectively. Only two counties, Bullitt and Taylor, gained
through migration. Inferencee regarding the probable number of migrants »
entering or leaving Hardin county are beclouded by the fact that the military
personnel. ut Fort Knox. conetituteri approximately half of the co1mty”s total
popzmletion. in 1958., The county of greatest percentage   was Bullitt, which
borders Jefferson county, the two counties of heavy percentage loss were Green
and Hart, both located et the greatest dietance (within the economic area)
from the Louisville-.Teffereo¤» county area., Taylor county, which showed con-
siderc.'o1e popxmation gain:. duscizig the same period, is also fer removed from the
metro·pol:1_ts::. etree; ?:mwew·:‘ez~, it includes Gampbellwille, the site of a number of
emell ind·1etwiee.

 Qgppy;gygl(Economic Area C).-The 1958 estimate of the Pennyroyal area‘s ·
p population was 181,300, approximately 10,000 (5.8 percent) more than its 1950
population. Fort Campbell is located in the area's Christian county, and its
personnel are considered residents of the county (and area) by the Bureau of
V Census. There is every reason to believe, however, that most of the gain in
total population has been due to an increase in the military personnel sta»
tioned there, and that as far as civilian population is concerned the area
had no appreciable increase, Five of the other six counties lost population,
with losses ranging from 0.7 percent (Barren) to 15.4 percent (Todd). Warren
I county had a net increase of 0.9 percent. The numerical increase was approx;
7 imately hoo, and it is known that since 1950 there was an increase of nearly
600 in the college student enrollment in Warren county. Consequently, it
appears that even Warren county might have lost population during the 8} years
if college students°had not been counted as county residents. With the excep-
tion of Christian county, all the counties in the area lost population through
migration between 1950 and 1958,
Sguth Central gnobs, or Eastggg Highland Qgg (Economic Area 5).--All 12
counties in the South Central Knobs area showed net losses of population for
the 8% years since 1950. The population of the area declined from 195,332 in
1950 to 178,300 by mid-1958, representing a loss of 8.7 percent. The least
percentage loss was 2.1 (Cumberland county), and the greatest was 19.5 (Russell
county). Arranged in categories of percentage loss, the counties appear in the
following order: `
Less than 5 percent-.Cumber1and, Wayne, Rockcastle
5 percent to 10 percent--Casey, Lincoln, Pulaski
10 percent to 15 percent~-Adair, Allen, Clinton,
Metcalfe, Monroe
p Over 15 percent—-Russell
Outs; Blue Erase (Economic Area 6),--Twenty-six counties are similar
enough with respect to several characteristics to be designated Economic Area
6. The geography of the area is unique in that it nearly encircles an economic
area having an industrialized center (Lexington). Furthermore, the southern
_ counties are in the center of the state, while the northern counties border
‘ the Ohio River. Consequently, a diversity of factors has produced various
patterns of population change among the counties of the area. As a unit, the
Outer Blue Grass area lost almost Q,000 persons between 1950 and 1958, or 1.2
percent of its 1950 population. This amount is the excess of the losses of
19 counties over the gains of 7 counties. Of the 7 which gained, 6 are adja»
cent to areas of increasing industrialization. Mason and Pendleton counties
had increases of less than 1 percent; Franklin, Boyle, and Madison counties
had increases of'5 percent to 10 percent; Oldham county gained 19.8 percent;
and Boone county, adjoining the Campbe11—Kenton metropolitan area, showed a
gain of 62.5 percent as the population changed from 13,118 in 1950 to 21,300
by mid-1958. Among these counties of net population increases, however, only
two (Oldham and Boone) gained through migration. n
The 19 counties having net losses during the 8§—year period, classified
according to percentage loss are:
U

 - 3 -
Less than 5 percent-Shelby, Gallatin, Montgomery,
Trlmble, Grant
5 percent to 10 percent--Carroll, Marion, Nelson
10 percent to 16 percent—·Anderson, Bracken, Gerrard, Henry,
__N1cho1as, Spencer, Washington A
19 percent to 28 percent-Bath, Fleming, Owen, Robertson
lnn§;,§l§g Grass (Economic Area 7).-A substantial (7.8 percent) gain from
about 206,000 in 1950 to about 222,000 in 1958 was registered by the Inner Blue
Grass area as a unit. However, net gains appeared only in the counties of
Fayette (Lexington) and Clark, which adjoin each other, and only Fayette county
gained through migration.
The other six counties of the area had net losses ranging from 1.6 percent
(Jessamlne) to 8.9 percent (Woodford). When past population estimates of these
counties are considered, there is a trend of decreasing losses among them in
keeping with the influence observed elsewhere of industrialized centers upon
nearby counties.
Cumberlgnd Plgtegu Margin (Economic Area 8).-—As its name suggests, this
area is the beginning of the more mountainous section of the state and is
consequently characterized by a sparseness of developed population centers. »
Its economy is based primarily u on small-scale farming, lumbering, and limited
coal mining in some areas.
Loss of population from the Cumberland Plateau Margin area as a whole
occurred at an average annual rate-of about 1 percent. The 1958 population
estimate of about 216,000-in the area ls approximately 21,000 (8.8 percent)
less than the 1950 population,
During the 8} years 2 of the 17 counties in the area had net gains of popua ·
lation. They were Greenup (17.9 percent) and Clay (3.N percent). Greenup
county adjoins the Huntington, West V1rg1n1a»Ashlandsmetropolltan area and also
is near an atomic energy plant in Ohio, Approximately 6 percent of Greenup
county's net increase in population was due to an in-migration since 1950. N0
other county in the Cumberland Plateau Margin gained population through migrae
t1OD.• ·
There is an odd distribution of the percentage losses among the other 15
counties. Eight count1es·(Carter, Elliott, Jackson, Laurel, Lawrence, Lee,
Lewis, and Powell) had losses ranging from 1 percent to 15 percent, the average
being 7.6 percent, Seven counties (Estill, Magoffin, Menifee, Morgan, Owsley,
Rowan, and Wolfe) had losses ranging from 15 percent to 30 percent, the average
being 22.7 percent.
Cumberland Plgtggu (Economic Area 9).--The Cumberland Plateau (ln eastern-
most Kentucky) is a mountainous area, and in the southern part coal mining is
the most important industry. Popu1at1on.changes are closely tied to the changes
ln the area's economic conditions, but they are also affected by the rather A
high fertility rate of the area. Economic Area 9 experienced the greatest loss
(18.6 percent) of any of Kentucky‘s economic areas. The population decreased
from approximately 516,000 in 1950 to an estimated U20,000 by mid-1958. Two
of the lk counties registered population gains: Leslie, 17.8 percent and
Martin, 1.7 percent. However, both of these counties had losses due to

 . — 9 — _
migration. Among the other 12 counties, Knox had_the least percentage loss N
of population (9.1 percent), and Bell county had the greatest (28.1 percent). V.
Six counties (Breathitt, Johnson, Knott, Knox, Pike, and Whitley) had losses n,
ranging from 9Z1·percent to 15.1 percent with an average of 12.7 percent; the
_ other 6 {Bell, Floyd, Harlan, Letcher, Mc0reary{ and Perry) had losses ranging
from 21.6 percent to 28.1 percent, with an average loss of 25.6 percent. _
xmiieauons 9; sapiaiy cnaggxggv ·i=¤p‘u1`at16¤é      
Population statistics are useful not only because they pro-
l vide needed information about the numbers and characteristics of
the residents, but also because they reflect the social and
economic conditions of a given area. Our social institutions must
constantly adjust to population changes if serious problems are to
be avoided, and a careful study of population trends may indicate
what kinds of adjustments should be made. Without adequate pre-
paration, the social institutions in an area that is rapidly
gaining population may be unable to meet the demands for service.
On the other hand, institutions in areas losing population at a
rapid rate frequently face critical problems of financing or
staffing prggrams designed to meet the needs of a larger
population.
Kentucky's counties can be classified into groups which gained or which
lost population between April 1950, and July 1958. A more meaningful com-
parison of population changes is possible if each of the two groups is
subclassified into ranges of average annual percent change. The cover
figure portrays the counties as their annual percent change averages more than
q. 2 percent, between l and 2 percent, or less than l percent;5 Counties having
the highest rates of change, whether of gain or loss, are those most likely
to be faced with complicated problems of social change.
Twelve counties had average annual gains of more than 2 percent, 7
averaged between 1 and 2 percent, and ll averaged less than l percent. The
· 12 counties having the highest average annual percentages of change are
Boone, Bullitt, Christian, Daviess, Fayette, Greenup, Jefferson, Leslie,
McCracken, Marshall, Oldham, and Taylor. All but Leslie county have had
population increases due in part to in—migration of persons from other areas.
Boone county's numerical increase of 8,200 is far from the largest in the
state, but its percentage increase (62.5) is.
Twenty—five counties had average annual losses of more than 2 percent,
38 averaged between l and 2 percent, and 27 averaged less than l percent. Of
it
Ibid., p. 12.
5Shelby and Pendleton counties had a loss and a gain, respectively, of
less than 50 and therefore appear as having no change in Table 1; they are
represented in the cover figure, however, as having less than 1.0 percent f
change.

 - 10 Q V , _ .
the first 25, 11 actually averaged 3 percent or more annual loss., They were
Bell, Crittenden, Harlan, Letcher, McCreary, Magoffin, Menifee, Morgan, Ohio,
Perry, and Robertson. Eight of the 11 counties are in Economic Areas 8 or 9,
and in 5 the major economic enterprise is coal-mining. V
The overall picture of population changes in Kentucky between 1950 and 1958
is one of (a) declines in most counties, (b) gains in a scattered quarter of the V
counties, and (c) gains through in-migration in a dozen of the counties, most
of which are areas of industrialization near the Ohio river.,

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 .; 11 -
Table 1.--Estimated Population Changes in Kentucky Economic Areas: I
April 1, 1950 to July 1, 1958
 
Census Estimated Net Percent Average
_ - Population Population Change Change Annual
, Area April 1, 1950* July 1, 1958 1950-1958 1950-1958 Percent
(nearest (nearest Change
hundred) hundred}
Kentucky ` 2,971,486 3,022,000 ,4 50,500 4 1,7 ,£ 0.2
Metropolitan Area A ,,
A. Jefferson County L+89,M00 625,500 #136,100 #27.8 ,1 3,1+
B, Ca pbell-Kenton h
Counties . 181,935 205,500 # 23,600 #13.0 { 1,6
C. Boyd County 50,370 51,¤00 # 1,000 { 2.0 # 0.2
Economic Area ‘
1. The Purchase l51,26¤ 158,700 % 7,M00 % N.9 } 0,6 2
3, Owensboro-Henderson 129,773 139,000 # 9,200 # 7.1, { 0.9
3a. Western Coal Fields 191,004 163,200 Q 27,800 ;1N.6 Q 1.8
0 (jb. Eastern Pennyroyal
. and Knobs 123,090 136,000 ,l 12,900 #10.5 ,! 1.3
b. Pennyroyal 171,¤¤0 181,300 # 9.900 # 5.8 4 0.7
5. South Central Knobs 195,332 178,300 W 17,000 » 8.7 ~ 1.1
I 6. Outer Blue Grass 328,809 32¤,900 — 3,900 ~ 1.2 ~ 0.1
7. Inner Blue Grass 206,081 222,100 # 16,000 # 7.8 # 0.9
8. Cumberland Plateau
Margin 236,905 216,100 ~ 20,800 ~ 8.8 ~ 1.1
9. Cumberland Plateau 516,083 ¤20,100 Q 96,000 »18.6 ~ 2.3
 
*C0rrected for underenumeration. l V

 .. 12 ...
Table 2.2-- Provisional Estimated Population Changes in Kentuclqr G®‘11'I1.{`5Tl@’é$,,
Apr11 1, 1950 to July 1, 1958 .
Census E0*05.ma00d N01 Gain Percent Av01~ag0
Population P0pula010n 01* 11000 Changs Annual
County Apr11 1, 1950* July 1, 1958 1950-1958 195021958 002ng0
(nearest (D.®8.`I°GSt (p01¤00n·0)
hundred  h11nd1¤0d2 , ,
All Counties 2,971,086 3,022,000 150,500 1 1,7 1 0,2 ,
A¤¤1r 17,750 15,700 2 2,000 211.3 2 1,0 —
Allen 13,886 12,500 2 1,000 210,1 2 1,2
Anderson 91052+ 7,700 ·- 1,000 2-15,5 2 1,9
Ballard 8,601 9,200 600 1 7,0 1 0,8
Barron 28,683 28,500 2 200 2 0,7 2 0,1
Bath 10,093 8,300 2 2,200 221,0 2 2,5
Bell 08,106 30,700 ¤13,5OO ézgel 2 3,0
26606 13,118 21,300 , 8,200 162,5 1 7,6
Bouxbcn .l7,89l 17,200 2 700 2 3,9 2 0,5 1
Boyd 50,370 51,000 1,000 1 2,0 _ 1 0,2
26y1e 20,670 22,300 _ 1,600 1 7,7 1 0,9
Bracken 8,060 7,600 2 900 210,6 2 1,3
200010110 20,173 17,900 2 2,300 ~11,u 2 1,0
Breckinridge 15,659 13,700 2 2,000 212,8 2 1,6 `
2011100 11,009 16,300 0,900 102,8 1 5,2
300102 11,000 9,000 2 2,}*-PCO 221,1 2 2,6
c¤1&we11 13,296 *,11,800 2 1,500 211,3 2 1,0
02110way 20,283 2,19,000 2 900 2 0,0 2 0,5
Ca pbell 76,799 87,200 10,000 113,5 1 1,6
Carlisle GBZU6 6,300 100 1 1,6 1 0,2
002r011 8,586 7,900 2 700 2 8,2 2 1,0
Carter 22,773 20,100 2 2,700 211,9 2 1,0
Casey 17,617 15,900 2 1,700 2 9,6 2 1,2
002101100 u2,66U 60,300 17,600 101,3 . 1 5,0
, Clark ‘ 19,005 21,100 2,100 111,0 1 1,3
Glu  23,398 20,200 _ 800 1 3,0 - 1 0,0
Clinton 10,707 9, 00 2 1,000 113,1 ,.». 1,6
Crittenden 10,900 7,900 2 3,000 227,5 2 3,3
Cumberland 9,386 9,200 2 200 2 2,1 2 0,3
Daviess 57,763 68,100 10,300 117,8 1 2,2
Bdmonson 9,059 8,800 2 700 2 7,0 2 0,9
Elliott 7,156 6,900 2 300 2 0,2 2 0,5
Eet111 10,800 12,000 2 2,800 ~18¤9 2 2,3
Fayette 101,066 119,700 18,200 117,9 1 2,2
Flaming 12,065- 9,700 2 2,000 wlgug 2 2,0
° ` *Co1·1·ected for underenumoraiion.

 Table 2 (Continued)
‘ Census Estimated Net Gain Percent Average ·
Population Population or Loss Change Annual
County April 1, 1950 Jnly 1, 1958 1950-1958 1950-1958 Change
(nearest (nearest (percent) -
hundred) hundred Q
Floyd 50,107 02,000 -11,700 -21.6 - 2.6
Franklin 26,120 27,600 1,500 # 5.7 # 0.7
Fulton 13,770 11,100 - 2,700 -19.6 - 2.0
Gallatin 3,997 3,900 - 100 — 2.5 - 0.3
Gerrard 11,117 9,700 - 1,000 -12.6 — 1.5
Grant 9,883 9,600 - 300 - 3.0 — 0.0
Graves 31,577 29,900 - 1,700 — 5.0 - 0.7
Grayson 17,212 16,000 - 1,200 - 7.0 - 0,8
Green 11,350 9,500 - 1,900 -16.7 - 2.0
Greenup 25,117 29,600 0,500 #17.9 # 2.2
Eancock 6,058 0,700 - 1,000 -23.1 - 2.8
0ee01¤ 50,767 58,700 , 7,900 #15.6 1 1.9
Her1e¤ 72,500 53,600 -18,900 -26.1 - 3.2
Harrison 13,827 13,300 - 500 - 3.6 — 0.0
Hart 15,052 12,000 - 3,500 -22.7 - 2.8
Henderson 30,909 30,000 3,500 #11.3 # 1.0
Hbnry 11,083 9,900 - 1,600 -13.9 — 1.7
Hickman 7,832 6,700 — 1,100 e10.0 - 1.7
A Hbpkins 39,119 _ 38,200 — 900 — 2.3 — 0.3
Jackson 13,229 11,300 - 1,900 -10.0 - 1.7
Jefferson 089,000 625,500 136,100 #27.8 } 3.0
Jeeeem1ne 12.509 12,300 - 200 - 1.6 - 0.2
Johnson 20,075 21,000 — 3,100 -12.9 - 1.6
·` Kenton 105,136 118,300 13,200 #12.6 # 1.5
Knott 20,550 17.900 - 2,700 -13.1 - 1.6
Knox 30,702 27,900 - 2,800 - 9.1 - 1.1
Larue 10,035 10,700 700 4 7.0 ¢ 0.8
Laurel 26,002 25,700 - 300 - 1.2 - 0.1
Lawrence 10,503 13,000 - 1,100 - 7.6 - 0.9
Lee 8,825 7,500 - 1,300 -10.7 - 1.8
Leslie 15,732 18,500 2,800 #17.8 # 2.2
Letcher 39,966 29,200 -10,800 -27.0 - 3.3
Lew1e 13,6u6 12,900 - 700 - 5.1 - 0.6
Lincoln 18,835 17,800 — 1,000 — 5.3 — 0.6
Livingston 7,229 6,900 - 300 - 0.1 - 0.5
 

 - 10 -
Table 2 (Continued.) _
Census Estimated Net Gain Percent Average
Population Population or Less Change Annual
County Aprll 1, 1950 July 1, 1958 1950-1958 1950-1958 Gbenge ’
(nearest (nearest (percent) _
hundred) hunclred}
Lcgen 22,503 19,600 - 2,900 -12.9 - 1.6
Lycc 6,888 6,100 - ‘800 -11.6 - 1,0
McCracken 09,080 58,900 _ 9,000 e #19.0 { 2.3
McCreary 16,837 12,000 - 0,000 -26.1 - 3.2
McLean 10,098 9,700 - 000 - 0.0 - 0.5
Meclecc 3 ,013 30,300 2,900 4 9.2 ¢ 1.1
Magoffln 13,991 9,900, - 0,100 -29.3 - 3.6
Marlon 17.391 16,200 - 1,200 - 6,9 - 0.8
Marshall ‘ 13,075 17,100 3,600 #26.7 % 3.2
Meyt1¤ 11,821 12,000 200 J 1.7 { 0.2 ·
Meeen 18,620 18,700 100 ¢ 0.5 ¢ 0.1
Meade 9,521 10,800 , 1,300 #13.7 l 1.7
Menlfee 0,806 3,600 - 1,200 -20.8 - 3.0
Mercer 10,709 10,100 - 600 - 0.1 - 0.5
Metcalfe 9,926 8,700 - 1,200 -12.1 --1.5
Monroe 13,888 12,500 ' - 1,000 -10.1 ,- 1.2
Montgomery 13,138 12,800 - _ 300 — - 2.3 - 0.3
M¤re¤¤ 13.759 9.900 — 3.900 -28.3 - 3.0
Muhlenberg 32.775 25,000 - 7,800 -23.8 - 2.9
Nelson 19,720 18,000 - 1,700 - 8.6 - 1.0
N1chc1ee 7,580 6,700 - 900 -11.9 - 1.0
0n1c 21,009 _ 15,000 - 6,000 -28.6 - 3.5
Oldham 11,102 13,300 , 2,200 ,'{19.8 { 2.0
Owen 9,835 . 7,600 - 2,200 -22.0 - 2.7
Owsley 7,390 6,100 ‘ - 1,300 -17.6 - 2.1
Pendleton 9,692 9,700 . 0 _ 0.0 0.0
Perry 07,129 35,500 -11,600 -20.6 - 3.0
Plke 82,077 69.700 · -12,000 -15.1 - 1.8
?cwe11 6,877 . 6,800 »- 100 -,1.5 - 0.2
Pc1eek1 38,796 36,000 - 2,800 - 7.2 - 0.9
Robertson 2,902 2,100 - 800 -27.6 - 3.3
Rockcaetle 10,050 13,500 - 600 - 0.3 - 0.5
Rowan 12,825 -9.700 - 3,100 -20.2 - 2.9
Russell 13,807 11,100 - 2,700 -19.5 - 2.0
Scott 15,256 10,000 - 1,300_ - 8.5 - 1.0

 .. 15 ..
_ Table 2 (Continued)
. Census Estimated Net Gain Percent Average
Population Population or Loss Change Annual
County April 1, 1950 July 1, 1958 1950-1958 1950-1958 Change
(nearest (nearest (percent)
hundred) hundred)
Shelby 18,049 18,000 — O , 0.0 0.0
s1mpso¤ 11,760 10,200 e 1,600 -13.6 - 1.6
Spencer 6,215 5,500 - 700 -11.3 - 1.4
» Toy1or 14,512 17,800 3,300 {22.7 { 2.8
Todd 12,991 11,000 ·- 2,000 4-15.4 - 1.9
mr1gg 9,749 8,300 4 1,400 414.4 T 1.7
T1·1mb1e _·‘5‘,198 5,000 - 200 g- 3.8 - 0.5
Un1on 15,031 13,200 - 1,800 -12.0 4 1.5
Warren @3,090 43,500 7+00 ·/ 0.9 ,Z 0.1
Washington 12,896 11,200 - 1,700 -13.2 .. 1‘.6
Wayne 16,640 16,200 - 400 2 2.4 - 0.3
Webster 15,932 13,600 - 2,300 -14.4 - 1.7
wh1t1oy 32,224 27,500 - 4,700 e14.6 - 1.8
Wolfe 7,680 6,500 4 1,200 415.6 2 1.9
C Woodford 11,298 10,300 - 1,000 - 8.9 — 1.1
 

 - 16 ..
Appendix
_Hpv_;,pg_ ]_L95§_ Populatigp v_gg_s_ Estgmgted
A basic procedure used in the preparation of 1958 population estimates for _
Kentucky counties and economic areas is one developed by the Population and
Housing Division of the United States §ureau of the Census, and is known as the
migration»and»natural—increase method, Reduced to its fundamentals, this
method involves adding births and subtracting deaths from the most recent
census population (in thisfcase, the 1950 census) to obtain the natural increase
in each area, Then the amount of net migration that has occurred since the cena
sus is calculated and either asses to or subtracted from the total, depending
upon whether there has been a net gain or a net loss through migration, Since
migratory movements of the population are not registered in the United States as ,
they are in some European countries, the extent of migration must be estimated.
This is done by first estimating migration rates for children of elementary school
age. The expected nu ber of school age children, assuming no migration, is
determined by computing the number of survivors of a.particular age group enus
merated in 1950. Theldifference between the number of survivors and the reported
number of children attending school is attributed to migration, which allows the
comput